| Base · Conservative (3.2% real) | £786 avg; lower catch-up effort with a steady step-up | £2,250 planned / £2,344 Safe/mo | £147,335 | Leanest saving plan that still keeps about 79 months of buffer; a good stress-test for higher rent or utility costs. |
| Pessimistic · Conservative (2.6% real) | £786 avg; lower catch-up effort with a steady step-up | £2,250 planned / £2,260 Safe/mo | £112,845 | Same effort as Base but weaker returns cut the cushion to 61 months, so treat this as the minimum viable path. |
| Optimistic · Conservative (4.2% real) | £786 avg; lower catch-up effort with a steady step-up | £2,250 planned / £2,353 Safe/mo | £214,040 | Higher returns mostly widen the reserve to 83 months instead of supporting a much bigger retirement lifestyle. |
| Base · Hybrid step-up (3.2% real) | £979 avg; moderate catch-up effort with a bigger mid-career lift | £2,600 planned / £2,659 Safe/mo | £176,326 | Adds a mid-career raise while keeping 70 months of buffer against the target retirement spend. |
| Pessimistic · Hybrid step-up (2.6% real) | £979 avg; moderate catch-up effort with a bigger mid-career lift | £2,600 planned / £2,621 Safe/mo | £135,236 | Even with lower returns, the heavier savings effort still leaves about 63 months of buffer by age 90. |
| Optimistic · Hybrid step-up (4.2% real) | £979 avg; moderate catch-up effort with a bigger mid-career lift | £2,600 planned / £2,595 Safe/mo | £255,557 | Extra growth pays for accessibility upgrades and care reserves, leaving 58 months of buffer after those earmarks. |
| Base · Aggressive (3.2% real) | £1,336 avg; high catch-up effort needing sustained headroom | £3,100 planned / £3,230 Safe/mo | £233,005 | Captures the upside of later-career promotions while still finishing with about 79 months of buffer in reserve. |
| Pessimistic · Aggressive (2.6% real) | £1,336 avg; high catch-up effort needing sustained headroom | £3,100 planned / £3,299 Safe/mo | £178,971 | Saving hard cushions market disappointment and leaves the strongest reserve, about 88 months by age 90. |
| Optimistic · Aggressive (4.2% real) | £1,336 avg; high catch-up effort needing sustained headroom | £3,100 planned / £3,086 Safe/mo | £336,840 | The upside scenario channels gains into downsizing, gifting, and a £200k care reserve, leaving 57 months of buffer. |