| Base · Conservative (3.2% real) | £786 avg; £600 → £800 → £1,000 | £2,250 planned / £2,367 Safe/mo | £150,223 | Leanest saving plan that still keeps about 84 months of buffer; a good stress-test for higher rent or utility costs. |
| Pessimistic · Conservative (2.6% real) | £786 avg; £600 → £800 → £1,000 | £2,250 planned / £2,273 Safe/mo | £114,547 | Same effort as Base but weaker returns cut the cushion to 64 months, so treat this as the minimum viable path. |
| Optimistic · Conservative (4.2% real) | £786 avg; £600 → £800 → £1,000 | £2,250 planned / £2,403 Safe/mo | £220,067 | Higher returns mostly widen the reserve to 96 months instead of supporting a much bigger retirement lifestyle. |
| Base · Hybrid step-up (3.2% real) | £979 avg; £700 → £1,000 → £1,300 | £2,600 planned / £2,686 Safe/mo | £179,762 | Adds a mid-career raise to push savings toward the upper-20s share of take-home while staying close to the target spend. |
| Pessimistic · Hybrid step-up (2.6% real) | £979 avg; £700 → £1,000 → £1,300 | £2,600 planned / £2,637 Safe/mo | £137,265 | Even with lower returns, the heavier savings effort still leaves about 66 months of buffer by age 90. |
| Optimistic · Hybrid step-up (4.2% real) | £979 avg; £700 → £1,000 → £1,300 | £2,600 planned / £2,654 Safe/mo | £262,700 | Extra growth mostly pays for accessibility upgrades and care reserves rather than materially changing monthly spending. |
| Base · Aggressive (3.2% real) | £1,336 avg; £900 → £1,400 → £1,800 | £3,100 planned / £3,267 Safe/mo | £237,517 | Captures the upside of later-career promotions while still finishing with about 85 months of buffer in reserve. |
| Pessimistic · Aggressive (2.6% real) | £1,336 avg; £900 → £1,400 → £1,800 | £3,100 planned / £3,320 Safe/mo | £181,643 | Saving hard cushions market disappointment; the “pessimistic” label reflects returns, not a stripped-down retirement. |
| Optimistic · Aggressive (4.2% real) | £1,336 avg; £900 → £1,400 → £1,800 | £3,100 planned / £3,165 Safe/mo | £346,182 | The upside scenario channels gains into downsizing, gifting, and a £200k care reserve instead of bigger monthly spending. |